Week 6 NFL Picks, Odds And Betting Analysis For Every Game
It’s the most wonderful time of the year in American sports with the MLB postseason beginning, the NHL and NBA seasons kicking off and the NFL season in full swing.
Armenian Sports News editor Andre Khatchaturian is rolling in his picks this season and he’s about to give you some Week 6 against-the-spread picks. But first let’s take a look at how he did last week.
Week 5 record: 8-7-1
Season record: 42-37-1
All lines via DraftKings sportsbook.
Thursday, October 14, 2021
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.5) at Philadelphia Eagles, 8:20 PM
Andre’s Pick: Bucs. The Eagles average 5.2 yards per carry, but they’re facing one of the most lethal rush defenses in the league. I don’t expect Philadelphia to establish any running attack and they’ll be overly reliant on Jalen Hurts (who also loves to run the ball). Tampa Bay just has too many threats and you have to think Tom Brady will have revenge on his mind from the Super Bowl he lost to Philly.
Sunday, October 17, 2021
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (+3), 9:30 AM (London)
Andre’s Pick: Jaguars. Miami has the league’s worst yards per play differential. Jacksonville has a strong run defense and they’ll be able to mitigate Miami’s running attack and force Jacoby Brissett to make plays. Brissett is dead last in yards per pass attempt this season.
Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) at Washington Football Team, 1:00 PM
Andre’s Pick: Washington. Only one team in the NFL allows more than seven yards per play — the Kansas City Chiefs. Their defense stinks and they’ve had a terrible time covering lately. They’re just 2-13-1 against the spread in their last 16 games.
Los Angeles Rams (-9) at New York Giants, 1:00 PM
Andre’s Pick: Rams. The Giants are banged up and face an explosive Rams team that leads the league in yards per play and is third in yards per play differential. It’ll be tough for the Giants to keep up with L.A. without Saquon Barkley in the lineup.
Green Bay Packers (-6) at Chicago Bears, 1:00 PM
Andre’s Pick: Packers. The Packers have covered four straight against Chicago. Justin Fields averages 6.4 yards per pass attempt — second-worst mark in the league. Chicago also owns the third-worst yards per play differential in the NFL.
Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5), 1:00 PM
Andre’s Pick: Ravens. The Chargers allow the most yards per carry. Despite allowing 230 rushing yards to the Browns last week, they still won. That’s not sustainable especially when you consider the Browns dominated time of possession. The Ravens are great at running the ball, and they’ll expose the Chargers’ run defense.
Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) at Detroit Lions, 1:00 PM
Andre’s Pick Bengals. The Lions allow 10 passing yards per attempt. Joe Burrow is fifth in yards per pass attempt and he and his elite receivers are developing great chemistry. Expect a few explosive touchdowns in this one.
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-10), 1:00 PM
Andre’s Pick: Texans. Houston is bad, but they’ve played in some close games this year. The Colts aren’t that much better than the Texans to win by double-digits.
Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers (-2.5), 1:00 PM
Andre’s Pick: Panthers. I still believe in Carolina and its defense. The Panthers are ninth in yards per play differential and allow the second fewest yards per play. Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen were all on the Vikings’ injury report this week so they might not be completely healthy for this one.
Arizona Cardinals at Cleveland Browns (-3), 4:05 PM
Andre’s Pick: Browns. Nick Chubb, but Kareem Hunt is active and ready to go against the Cardinals, who allow the second-most yards per carry. That’s a good way to keep the ball away from Kyler Murray’s hands. Cleveland also has the second-best yards per play differential in the NFL.
Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) at New England Patriots, 4:25 PM
Andre’s Pick: Cowboys. Dallas hasn’t won at New England since 1987. That’ll change this week. New England has given the ball away nine times this year — third-most in the NFL. Dallas leads the league in interceptions. They’re going up against a rookie QB. Expect Dallas to force some key turnovers and win.
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos (-4.5), 4:25 PM
Andre’s Pick: Broncos. Aside from all the off field issues the Raiders are going through, they’ll have their hands full against a Denver team that ranks fifth in yards per play differential. The Broncos are also a much more lethal team at home.
Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5), 8:20 PM
Andre’s Pick: Steelers. The Steelers showed their defense is still a force to be reckoned with last week. Seattle has always been a one-man show with Russell Wilson. He’s gone now. Everyone will see just how valuable Wilson is to the Seahawks organization.
Monday, October 18, 2021
Buffalo Bills (-5.5) at Tennessee Titans, 8:15 PM
Andre’s Pick: Bills. Shocked the spread is only 5.5. Bills have hte best yards per play differential in the NFL. The Titans can’t stop a nosebleed and have the fourth-worst yards per play differential.